Issued: 1:29 PM PDT Wednesday, March 22, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Saturday

A split upper trough and weak front will move across the Northwest on Wednesday. The south part of the trough will move to California and there won't be a lot of flow aloft over the Northwest. The front is not very organized and so like the NWS the precipitation type in the forecast will be showers. But a cooler air mass following the front and in the upper trough should move to the Northwest Wednesday night. A convergence zone is indicated by the Wednesday morning UW WRF model in the north Cascades near Glacier Peak Wednesday evening.

A weak ridge and weak surface high pressure should move across the Northwest Wednesday night and Thursday. This should give some cloud and sun breaks Thursday afternoon mainly in the south Cascades and east of the crest.

Increasing southwest flow aloft should cause a second front to begin to arrive over the Northwest on Thursday night with the main flow aloft and main precipitation expected from about Mt Hood south.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light to moderate showers.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Light showers decreasing and ending. Cooler with lowering snow levels.

Thursday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light to moderate showers heaviest volcanoes.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Showers possibly heaviest in convergence in the north Cascades in the evening otherwise light showers decreasing and ending. Cooler with lowering snow levels.

Thursday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy north and partly cloudy south.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light showers heaviest higher elevations.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Light showers higher elevations decreasing and ending. Cooler with lowering snow levels.

Thursday Afternoon

Partly sunny north and mostly sunny south.

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light to moderate showers.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Light showers decreasing and ending. Cooler with lowering snow levels.

Thursday Afternoon

Partly sunny.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' ' ' 4500' ' 5000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 2500' ' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Saturday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 1.00 0.75 - 1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 0.75
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
0.50 - 0.75 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Mid-day SW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 --- - SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25 SSW 5 - 15 SSW 5 - 15 --- - SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 10 - 20 --- - SSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Evening SSE 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 35 - 50 SSW 30 - 45 SSW 35 - 50 --- - SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45 SW 30 - 45 SW 30 - 45 --- - SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 20 - 30 WSW 10 - 20 W 20 - 30 --- - W 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 25 - 35 --- - SSW 30 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 40 - 60
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSW 30 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night W 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Mid-day SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night W 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SSW 50 - 70

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

Moderate southwest flow aloft and showers will follow the 2nd front across the Northwest on Friday with the main flow and precipitation sinking south from over Oregon to California.

A weak upper trough, with the main  part of the trough moving to California, should cross the Northwest on Saturday.

An upper ridge and surface high pressure should cross the Northwest on Sunday causing a break between weather systems. Another front should approach on Sunday night.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Friday

Decreasing moderate showers heaviest along the Cascade west slopes and a little cooler.

Saturday

Light showers mainly along the Cascade west slopes decreasing and ending and a little further cooling.

Sunday

Partly cloudy near and and west of the Cascade crest and partly sunny east of the crest Sunday morning. Increasing clouds Sunday afternoon. Increasing rain or snow Sunday night.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000'
Saturday Morning - Sunday Morning Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Morning - Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Morning - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Saturday Morning - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night Snow Level
4000' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 22, 2017

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.