Issued: 1:33 PM PST Saturday, February 18, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Monday

After all the wild wet weather last week in the Olympics and Cascades, Friday was pretty benign with light winds, some sun mainly in the morning, little if any precipitation and little change in snow levels.

A elongated, split north to south oriented upper trough will move onto the US west coast on Saturday with the main stronger part of the trough moving across California. But some moisture and precipitation will move out of the south part of the trough and south to north over the Northwest. A little more precipitation should be seen on the south volcanoes by Saturday afternoon.

A little break should be seen Saturday night.

A negatively tilted or southeast to northwest oriented upper trough and front should cross the Northwest on Sunday. In the Olympics and Cascades this should cause a modest increase in alpine winds and a little more precipitation by Sunday afternoon especially on the volcanoes.

Another little break might be seen Sunday night.

Snow levels shouldn't change much on Saturday and Sunday but should be a little higher in the afternoon hours.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing light rain or snow.

Saturday Night

Decreasing light showers.

Sunday Morning

Increasing light rain or snow.

Sunday Afternoon

Further increasing light rain or snow.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing light rain or snow and increasing light occasional moderate rain or snow on the southern volcanoes.

Saturday Night

Decreasing light showers.

Sunday Morning

Increasing light rain or snow.

Sunday Afternoon

Further increasing light rain or snow in the passes and further increasing moderate rain or snow on the volcanoes.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing light rain or snow.

Saturday Night

Decreasing light showers heaviest higher elevations.

Sunday Morning

Increasing light rain or snow.

Sunday Afternoon

Further increasing light rain or snow.

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing light occasional moderate rain or snow.

Saturday Night

Decreasing light showers.

Sunday Morning

Increasing light rain or snow.

Sunday Afternoon

Further increasing moderate rain or snow.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level * 3500' 3500' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level 3000' 3000' 2000' ' ' 3000' ' 3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level * 3500' 3500' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.75 - 1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Paradise 0 - 0.50 0 - 1.00
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 - 1.00
0 - 0.75 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 SW 5 - 15 --- - SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25 SSW 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25 --- - SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SSW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 --- - SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 20 - 30 --- - SSW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSE 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SSE 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SSW 20 - 30 SSW 10 - 20 SSW 20 - 30 --- - SW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SSW 25 - 35 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 25 - 35 --- - SW 30 - 45
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 SW 40 - 60 --- - SW 40 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Sunday Night SW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SSW 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Sunday Night SW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 30 - 45
Sunday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Sunday Night SW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

A large weak trough will shift slowly east over the northeast Pacific Ocean on Monday and Tuesday with the main southwest flow over Oregon and California. A frontal system in this flow will clip the Northwest on Monday and Tuesday.

The large weak trough will move to the US west coast with the strong part of the trough and the main flow moving across California (sounds familiar).

A cooling trend should be seen Monday to Wednesday.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Monday - Monday

Increasing moderate rain or snow heaviest near and west of the Cascade crest.

Tuesday

Decreasing showers heaviest near and west of the Cascade crest.

Wednesday

Increasing light showers heaviest near and west of the Cascade crest.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Tuesday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Wednesday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Wednesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 18, 2017

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