Issued: 2:41 PM PST Wednesday, January 15, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Friday

The unseasonably cold and active pattern should continue through the end of the week...with periods of lowland snow continuing.

A deep, powerful, and cold low pressure reaches peak intensity (~975mb) several hundred miles off the Washington Coast. The track of the low will create a strong E-W pressure gradient, sucking strong E winds through the mountain gaps that peak late Wednesday afternoon into the early evening. Winds in the 20-30 mph range are expected through Snoqualmie Pass with moderate to strong winds notable more for their gusty nature (50-60 mph possible) throughout Cascade Foothills. At the Cascade crest level, the associated front should bring increasing strong to very strong SSW through SSE winds as it approaches during the evening hours. The southerly flow aloft tends to block Snoqualmie and Stevens Pass and ESE low-level flow dries out as it descends over the West Central Cascades, reducing snowfall there as well. The front has reached the Washington Coastline at 2:15 PM and should cross the Cascades shortly after midnight. Winds should decrease overnight as the deep low moves away and weakens as it tracks northward into a blocking dome of cold, Canadian air. Light to moderate snow shower activity should continue through the day on Thursday with a trough offshore spinning cold, unstable air into the region.

At cold temperatures, low-density snow should add up Wednesday night and Thursday with 1-2 ft likely in locations favored by the SE low-level flow and southerly flow aloft. These include the E slopes of the Olympic Mountains, Mt. Rainier area, and Mt. Baker area. 

Thursday night, the upper trough moves over the region with and shifts eastward on Friday with light snow shower activity tapering as a subtle ridge builds Friday afternoon. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Moderate to heavy snow. Strong 5000 ft winds peaking during the evening hours. Cold.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Heavy snow. Moderate to strong winds peaking during the early evening hours. Cold.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Moderate snow. Strong crest-level winds decreasing by morning. Cold.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Periods of light snow. Strong to very strong alpine winds. E winds 25-35 mph through the Passes in the evening, decreasing to E 10-20 after midnight. Cold.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Moderate to heavy snow for Paradise and Crystal with light to moderate snow for Crystal. Very strong to extreme winds at Cascade Crest level decreasing over the night. Strong winds in the evening for the foothills. Cold.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Heavy snow. Strong alpine winds in the evening becoming moderate. Cold.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 1000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 1500' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 1000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 500' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 1000' 1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 1000' 500' 500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 0' 0' 500' 500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0'
Friday Morning Snow Level 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
0'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
0'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Leavenworth 0.25 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
0.75 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SSE 30 - 40 E 25 - 35 ESE 25 - 35 SE 25 - 35 S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30 ESE 15 - 25 ESE 10 - 20 SSE 10 - 20 SW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15 SE 5 - 15 E 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 W 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSE 30 - 40
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 25 - 35
Wednesday Night ESE 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SE 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning E 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening SE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning W 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 30 - 40
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 25 - 35
Wednesday Night ESE 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SE 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning E 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning W 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening S 50 - 70 S 35 - 45 SSW 45 - 60 SSW 40 - 55 SW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SSW 25 - 35 SSW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 35 - 45
Wednesday Night SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 45 - 60
Wednesday Night SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

Another system approaches Friday night with moderate E flow through the gaps increasing as a warm front lifts from south to north across the region, spreading light to moderate snowfall. This system will bring warming temperatures and a changeover to rain at lower elevations in the Mt. Hood and Olympics regions with moderate to heavy rain and snow arriving during the day on Saturday. The east slopes and Cascades passes should stay cold. SSW flow will continue to bring in warm air as the front lingers over the region Saturday night. Precipitation should cut off in the southern parts of the region on Sunday as a ridge begins to form.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 500' 1000' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 2000' - 3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1500' - 3000' 1500' - 2500' 3500' - 4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3000'
Sunday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 500'
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 15, 2020

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