Issued: 2:52 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Thursday

A weak trough associated with a primary low pressure near the California/Oregon border brought light snow to areas west of the Cascade Crest above 4000-4500 ft with light E flow keeping the Cascade Passes cool enough for some wet, accumulating snowfall. The light rain and snow shower activity should gradually diminish during the evening hours on Saturday with a shift to W flow likely to change Snoqualmie Pass to rain. The locations of precipitation are difficult to forecast due to the disorganized nature of the system, but models suggest some weak convergence activity in the central Cascades. The trough axis shifts eastward overnight as a large ridge begins encroaching upon our region. This will bring a drying trend with a shift to a more northerly flow after midnight, cutting off most of the light rain and snow shower activity.

Expect weak winds to allow low clouds and potentially light drizzle to linger in some areas west of the Cascade Crest on Sunday, with fairer weather at high elevations and east of the Cascade Crest. Sunday night and Monday, expect mostly clear and fair weather with spatial extent of low clouds and fog possible gradually diminishing as the ridge axis drifts to our coastline by late Monday. Expect freezing levels to rise significantly, particularly west of the Cascade Crest. However, E flow may keep the Passes slightly cooler than areas further west. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Saturday Night Light rain and snow ending during the early evening hours. Then becoming partly cloudy.
Mt. Baker
Saturday Night Light rain and snow ending during the early evening hours. Then becoming mostly cloudy.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers early, then becoming mostly clear.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Saturday Night Light rain and snow during the evening hours, locally more intense in weak convergence. Becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Light E wind shifting W during the evening hours, leading to rising snow levels above Snoqualmie to near Stevens Pass level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Saturday Night Very light rain and snow showers during the evening hours. Then becoming mostly cloudy.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Night Light rain and snow showers ending during the evening hours. Becoming partly cloudy after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level 5000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 5000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level * 5500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 4500'
Monday Morning Freezing Level * 6500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
4000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
4000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
4000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Freezing Level
5000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Leavenworth 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0 0 0
LT 0.10 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening NNW 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 W 0 - 10
Saturday Night NW 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10 WNW 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 W 5 - 15
Sunday Morning W 0 - 10 N 0 - 10 WNW 5 - 15 WNW 0 - 10 WNW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening NNW 0 - 10
Saturday Night NW 0 - 10
Sunday Morning W 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night NW 0 - 10
Sunday Morning N 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Morning WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night W 0 - 10
Sunday Morning WNW 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night W 5 - 15
Sunday Morning WNW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening NNW 0 - 10
Saturday Night NW 0 - 10
Sunday Morning W 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night NW 0 - 10
Sunday Morning N 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Morning WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night W 0 - 10
Sunday Morning WNW 0 - 10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening W 0 - 10
Saturday Night W 5 - 15
Sunday Morning WNW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening WNW 5 - 15 WNW 5 - 15 WNW 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Night NW 5 - 15 NW 10 - 20 NW 15 - 25 NW 10 - 20 NW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NNW 15 - 25 NNW 15 - 25 NNW 25 - 35 NNW 15 - 25 NNW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening WNW 5 - 15
Saturday Night NW 5 - 15
Sunday Morning NNW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon NNW 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening WNW 5 - 15
Saturday Night NW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning NNW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon NNW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening WNW 10 - 20
Saturday Night NW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NNW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon NNW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening W 10 - 20
Saturday Night NW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning NNW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon NNW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Night NW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NNW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon NNW 10 - 20

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Conditions remain mild throughout. Monday night, the ridge axis crosses our region as a frontal system moves into our region Tuesday, bringing light to occasionally moderate rain and high elevation snow. Post-frontal activity Tuesday night appears highly variable intensity in the models, but should not be a major event with temperatures too warm for snow at most locations. Wednesday looks to be mostly dry with a weaker ridge over the region.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Night Freezing Level 5500' - 7500' 6000' - 8000' 7500' - 9500' *
Tuesday Snow Level 4000' - 6000' 3000' - 5000' 6000' - 8000' *
Tuesday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 5000' 6000' - 7000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Night Freezing Level
5500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night Freezing Level
6000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Freezing Level
5000' - 6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night Freezing Level
7500' - 9500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
6000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Freezing Level
6000' - 7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 6, 2019

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