Issued: 5:17 PM PST Wednesday, November 22, 2017
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Friday

On Wednesday morning, an elongated upper trough sits over the northeast Pacific with very warm, moist south southwesterly flow over the Pacific Northwest. Between more organized, wetter systems Tuesday and Thursday, today is a relative break in the moisture onslaught, but moderate rain is still present at some locations. Wednesday night into Thursday, a cold front crosses the Olympics and Cascades, bringing the high freezing levels back to more seasonal norms by Thursday evening. A shortwave will enhance the cold front on Thursday afternoon. Showers and decreasing moisture will follow the front as flow turns more westerly.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday

Light showers.

Wednesday Afternoon

Light showers.

Wednesday Night

Increasing moderate rain.

Thursday Morning

Light to moderate rain and snow.

Thursday Afternoon

Light rain and snow showers.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday

Light to moderate showers.

Wednesday Afternoon

Light to moderate showers.

Wednesday Night

Increasing moderate to heavy rain.

Thursday Morning

Moderate to heavy rain and snow.

Thursday Afternoon

Light to moderate rain and snow showers north and central parts; Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers southern part.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday

Light showers.

Wednesday Afternoon

Light showers.

Wednesday Night

Light rain in the evening, then increasing moderate rain after midnight.

Thursday Morning

Moderate rain and snow showers.

Thursday Afternoon

Light rain and snow showers north and central; moderate rain and snow showers south.

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday

Light showers.

Wednesday Afternoon

Light showers.

Wednesday Night

Light showers evening then increasing to moderate to heavy by morning.

Thursday Morning

Moderate to heavy rain and snow.

Thursday Afternoon

Moderate to heavy rain and snow.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 9000' 8500' 9000' ' ' 9000' ' 10000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 9000' 8500' 9000' ' ' 9000' ' 10000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 6500' 6500' 7500' ' ' 7500' ' 9000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 5000' 4500' 6000' ' ' 6500' ' 7500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 5000' 4500' 6000' ' ' 6500' ' 7500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
8500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
8500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
9000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
10000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
10000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
9000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 1.00
Stevens Pass 0 - 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 0 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 1.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning SSW 30 - 40 S 20 - 30 SSW 25 - 35 --- - SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 40 - 55 SE 25 - 35 SSW 15 - 25 --- - SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 55 SSW 40 - 60 SSW 30 - 40 --- - SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 --- - SW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 --- - WSW 35 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 55
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 40 - 55
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning S 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SE 50 - 70
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 50
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Thursday Night SW 30 - 40
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 55
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 40 - 55
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning S 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SE 50 - 70
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Thursday Night SW 30 - 40

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning SSW 35 - 50 SSW 40 - 55 SSW 40 - 55 --- - WSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 45 - 65 SSW 50 - 70 SSW 50 - 70 --- - SSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Night SSW 60 - 80 SSW 50 - 70 SSW 55 - 75 --- - SSW 55 - 75
Thursday Morning WSW 55 - 75 SW 65 - 85 SW 65 - 85 --- - SW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 55 SW 40 - 55 SW 55 - 75 --- - SW 65 - 85
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Night SSW 60 - 80
Thursday Morning WSW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 55
Thursday Night SW 30 - 40
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SSW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 65 - 85
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 55
Thursday Night SW 30 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SSW 55 - 75
Thursday Morning SW 65 - 85
Thursday Afternoon SW 55 - 75
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 55
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Night SSW 55 - 75
Thursday Morning SW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon SW 65 - 85
Thursday Night WSW 50 - 70

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

On Friday, continued moderate southwesterly flow in advance of a front approaching the Pacific Northwest coastal waters. Saturday and Sunday, a longwave trough over the coastal waters brings a series of wet fronts. from southwest to northeast across the region.

Extended Weather

All zones
Friday

Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers Olympics and Northwest Cascades; light rain and snow showers central and south Cascades.

Friday Night

Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers Olympics and Northwest Cascades; light rain and snow showers central and south Cascades.

Saturday

Increasing moderate rain and snow, heaviest south.

Saturday Night

Periods of moderate to heavy rain and snow.

Sunday

Rain and snow becoming showers.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Saturday Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 5500' 7000' - 8000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
Sunday Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Sunday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 20, 2017

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.