Issued: 4:44 PM PST Monday, November 20, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Monday & Saturday

An upper level ridge will park itself over the Baja Peninsula/Southern California and help direct a series of warm and wet weather systems into the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia over much of the week.  

Moist SW flow will carry warm frontal precipitation over the region on Tuesday with precipitation rates and snow levels quickly ramping up during the day along with alpine winds. Moderate to locally heavy precipitation should continue Tuesday night.  Moderate easterly flow through the Cascade Passes may initially allow for a brief period of snow Tuesday morning before quickly changing to rain. In the same vein, the NE Cascades including Washington Pass will be slower to warm Tuesday but rain should eventually push into the 6000-7000 ft range Tuesday night. 

Weather Forecast

Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers, except locally moderate in a Puget Sound Convergence Zone. 

Monday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers. 

Tuesday

Light rain and snow developing over the south Washington Cascades and spreading north by mid-day.  Rain and snow becoming moderate to locally heavy mid-day through the afternoon. Strong warming trend. Increasing alpine winds. 

Olympics
Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Monday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers. 

Tuesday

Light rain and snow developing in the morning.  Rain and snow becoming moderate to locally heavy by mid-day. Strong warming trend. Increasing alpine winds. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers near the crest. Partly cloudy further east.  

Monday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy. 

Tuesday

Light rain and snow developing over the south Washington Cascades and spreading north by mid-day.  Rain and snow becoming light to moderate mid-day through the afternoon. Slow warming trend. Increasing alpine winds. 

Mt. Hood Area
Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Monday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers in the evening. Light rain and snow developing after midnight. Strong warming trend. 

Tuesday

Light to moderate rain and snow. Mild. Increasing alpine winds. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' ' ' 3500' ' 4500'
Monday Night Snow Level 5000' 3500' 3500' ' ' 4000' ' 5500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level 7000' 6500' 5500' ' ' 6500' ' 7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 6500' 6500' 6500' ' ' 7000' ' 7500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
7500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Saturday
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.50 0 - 2.00
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.75 0 - 2.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 2.50
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
Crystal Mt 0.75 - 1.00 2.00 - 2.50
Paradise 0 - 2.00 4.00 - 5.00
White Pass 0.75 - 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 1.50 0 - 0.75
2.00 - 2.50 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon W 0 - 10 WSW 0 - 10 WSW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 5 - 15 SE 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10 --- - SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Morning SE 10 - 20 ESE 5 - 15 SE 10 - 20 --- - S 15 - 25
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 30 S 15 - 30 SSE 15 - 30 --- - SW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 30
Tuesday Night S 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning ESE 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon S 15 - 30
Tuesday Night SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Morning S 15 - 25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night S 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 30
Tuesday Night S 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning ESE 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon S 15 - 30
Tuesday Night SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Morning S 15 - 25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night S 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 W 20 - 30 --- - W 50 - 60
Monday Night SW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 --- - SW 30 - 40
Tuesday Morning SSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 40 --- - SW 55 - 65
Tuesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60 SW 50 - 60 SW 55 - 65 --- - SW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Monday Night SW 15 - 25
Tuesday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Tuesday Night SW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Tuesday Night SW 40 - 50
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Monday Night SW 25 - 35
Tuesday Morning SW 30 - 40
Tuesday Afternoon SW 55 - 65
Tuesday Night SW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon W 50 - 60
Monday Night SW 30 - 40
Tuesday Morning SW 55 - 65
Tuesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Tuesday Night SW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

Another wave of moisture in SW flow will traverse across the area on Wednesday before the main frontal band associated with the deep upper level trough offshore begins to sag SE across the Cascades Wednesday night.   

Strong westerly flow and the trailing upper level trough will keep the weather active on Thanksgiving.  Snow levels should drop uniformly across the PNW to 4000-5000 feet by Thursday afternoon as cooler air moves into the region. Unfortunately the same upper level ridge will quickly rebuild in place Friday, likely setting the stage for milder moist SW flow to return for the first half of the weekend.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday

Cloudy with periods of light to moderate rain and snow becoming heavier overnight.  Mild. Windy in the alpine. 

Thursday

Stormy Thursday morning then light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Slow cooling trend during the day.  Breezy. 

Friday

Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.  

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Wednesday Snow Level 6000' - 7000' 6000' - 7500' 7000' - 8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 6000' - 7000' 6000' - 7500' 7000' - 8000'
Thursday Snow Level 4000' - 6000' 4500' - 6000' 5500' - 7000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Thursday Snow Level
4000' - 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
6000' - 7500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7500'
Thursday Snow Level
4500' - 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Thursday Snow Level
5500' - 7000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 17, 2017

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