Issued: 2:45 PM PST Wednesday, December 12, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Friday

A very active, wet and windy weather pattern continues over the Pacific Northwest.

The next in the line of low-pressure systems heads for SE Alaska, but the associated warm front stalls, increasing moisture to the region Wednesday afternoon with the heavy stuff arriving Wednesday night and Thursday morning. The northwest Washington windward slopes will experience the heaviest rain and snow throughout the storm, with a sharp precipitation boundary at the southeast edge such that Mt. Hood barely receives any precipitation and Mt. Rainier experiences drying late Thursday as the front lifts northward.

Moderate to heavy snowfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning will change to rain at the lower Cascade passes by mid-morning as the warm front moves across the region and lifts northward. Although light easterly flow will develop late Wednesday night in the passes, there is not enough cold air east of the Cascades to prevent a changeover to rain.

Winds will also be a major story with this system as moderate westerly flow becomes strong out of the SW Wednesday night and Thursday morning with winds gradually moderating Thursday afternoon from south to north.

Thursday night, the next system develops along a front associated with the previous system and lifts the warm front over Washington northward to the Canadian border, drying out most of Washington except the Mt. Baker and Olympic areas where light rain may persist. Winds will remain moderate to strong west of the Cascade crest as the next system approaches.

Another major system will impact the region on Friday with a N-S oriented cold front bringing moderate rain and snow, lowering snow levels and a strong southerly barrier jet, switching to moderate to strong W-NW flow behind the front. Snow levels should return to Snoqualmie Pass level by the end of the day.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Rapidly rising snow levels. Strong S-SW winds.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Light snow becoming moderate to heavy after midnight. Increasing moderate S-SW winds. Slowly rising snow levels.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Increasing light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Increasing moderate winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Light snow before midnight becoming moderate during the early morning hours. Winds increasing to sustained moderate after midnight. Very light easterly low-level flow through the passes.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow becoming moderate at Paradise after midnight. Moisture largely blocked after midnight at Crystal. Winds becoming moderate with strong gusts after midnight.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow after midnight. Increasing moderate winds, gusting to strong after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level 4000' 2500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 6000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 2000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 6000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 6000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5000' 6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 6500' 5500' 5000' 6000' 5500' 5500' 4500' 5500'
Thursday Night Snow Level * 7000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 5500' 5000' 4000' 6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level * 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0.75 -1.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0 0 0.50
LT 0.25 0 0 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening S 35 - 50 S 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35 SSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 60 SSE 30 - 45 SSW 35 - 50 SSW 35 - 50 SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60 S 30 - 45 SW 35 - 50 SSW 35 - 50 SW 30 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 35 - 50
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSE 30 - 45
Thursday Morning S 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 35 - 50
Wednesday Night SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSE 30 - 45
Thursday Morning S 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SSW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 30 - 45 W 35 - 50
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 45 - 65
Thursday Morning SW 55 - 75 SW 60 - 80 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 55 - 75 WSW 35 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Night WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning WSW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening W 35 - 50
Wednesday Night WSW 45 - 65
Thursday Morning WSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

Friday night will bring decreasing snow showers, focused on the west slopes of the Cascades.

Saturday will see a break in the action with another wet frontal system ahead of deep trough offshore, approaching Saturday evening and arriving on Sunday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level 1000' - 3000' 1000' - 3000' 2000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1500' - 3500' 1500' - 3500' 3500' - 5500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
4500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 12, 2018

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