Issued: 7:00 AM PST Wednesday, December 12, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Thursday

A very active, wet and windy weather pattern continues over the Pacific Northwest.

One strong system and associated trough exits to our east early Wednesday morning. Expect light to moderate rain and snow showers decrease during the morning hours. These showers will be heaviest in convergence over the central Washington Cascades and are accompanied by moderate westerly winds.

The next low heads for SE Alaska, but the associated warm front brings increasing moisture to the region Wednesday afternoon, further increasing Wednesday night. Northwest Washington windward slopes experience the heaviest rain and snow late Wednesday with a sharp precipitation boundary at the southeast edge such that Mt. Hood barely receives any precipitation and Mt. Rainier experiences drying late Thursday as the front lifts northward.

Snow levels will stay below pass level until Thursday morning when they will jump above the lower pass levels with the passage of the warm front; gradual warming will continue Thursday afternoon. Although light easterly flow will develop late Wednesday night in the passes, there is not enough cold air east of the Cascades to prevent a changeover to rain.

Winds will be a major story with this system as moderate westerly flow becomes strong out of the SW Wednesday night with winds gradually moderating Thursday from south to north.

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Mt. Baker
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Mt. Hood

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level 4000' 2500' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 6000' 2500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 6000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 3500' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 2.00 - 2.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.75 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.25 0
0.25 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30 SW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 W 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35 SSW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening S 40 - 60 S 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 45 - 65 S 30 - 45 S 35 - 50 SSW 35 - 50 SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60 SSE 25 - 35 SW 35 - 50 SSW 35 - 50 SW 30 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Evening S 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 45 - 65
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening S 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Evening S 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 45 - 65
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening S 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning W 30 - 45 W 40 - 60 WNW 45 - 65 WNW 45 - 65 WNW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30 - 45 WSW 40 - 60 W 40 - 60 W 35 - 50 WSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 45 SW 35 - 50 WSW 30 - 45 WSW 30 - 45 W 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 55 - 75 SW 55 - 75 SW 45 - 65 SW 50 - 70 SW 35 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 30 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 40 - 60
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Evening SW 35 - 50
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WNW 45 - 65
Wednesday Afternoon W 40 - 60
Wednesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 45 - 65
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WNW 45 - 65
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 50
Wednesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WNW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Evening W 30 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 40 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Dec 11, 2018

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