Issued: 2:27 PM PST Tuesday, December 11, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

A significant storm continues to impact our region. Snow levels will peak before the cold front sweeps through the Cascades in the early evening.  Strong cold-air advection behind the frontal passage will send snow levels plummeting tonight. Along with this cool down, post-frontal showers will quickly pile up new snow along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood Tuesday night. Moderate westerly winds will create blustery conditions in most areas.  

Showers and winds will diminish Wednesday morning but don't expect much of a respite.  Light warm frontal moisture from the next frontal system will begin to impact the Olympics and north Cascades by Wednesday afternoon. 

Moisture pulses along a quasi-stationary frontal boundary draped over the northern half of the forecast area should bring another round of heavier precipitation Wednesday night and Thursday, with lesser amounts seen further south. Not only will the Baker area and the Olympics see more precipitation in this pattern but strong winds are expected as well. Snow levels should gradually rise for all areas through Thursday with the Pacific Northwest on the warm side of the jet. 

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Rapid cooling. Windy.
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the evening. Rapid cooling. Windy.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the evening. Rapid cooling. Windy.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the evening. Rapid cooling. Windy.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the evening. Rapid cooling. Windy.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the evening. Rapid cooling. Windy.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 3500' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 3000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 5000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 5500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.50 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 1.50 0.75
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75
Mission Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 1.00 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00
White Pass 1.00 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
1.50 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.50
Tuesday 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening W 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night WNW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 W 15 - 30 W 30 - 40 W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 30 SW 15 - 25 W 15 - 25 W 25 - 35 W 30 - 40
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening W 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening SW 20 - 35
Tuesday Night W 15 - 30
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning W 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning W 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 20 - 35
Tuesday Night W 15 - 30
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning W 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning W 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 W 40 - 50 W 45 - 55 W 50 - 60
Tuesday Night W 35 - 45 W 45 - 55 WNW 45 - 55 WNW 50 - 60 WNW 50 - 60
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45 W 45 - 55 WNW 40 - 50 WNW 40 - 50 NW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 30 - 40
Tuesday Night W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 30 - 40
Tuesday Night W 45 - 55
Wednesday Morning W 45 - 55
Wednesday Afternoon SW 45 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 40 - 50
Tuesday Night WNW 45 - 55
Wednesday Morning WNW 40 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 45 - 55
Tuesday Night WNW 50 - 60
Wednesday Morning WNW 40 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 50 - 60
Tuesday Night WNW 50 - 60
Wednesday Morning NW 40 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The very active pattern will continue through the rest of the week. A rapidly deepening low pressure system develops offshore and curls toward Vancouver Island Thursday night.  A strong front should pass through late Thursday night or Friday morning.  Winds look very strong ahead of this front Thursday night.  Showers and cooling following the front should continue for most of Friday. Flat ridging Friday night will give way to increasing offshore flow as another north-south frontal Pacific frontal system approaches. Depending on the timing, we may squeak out a dry day Saturday ahead of this next system. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500' *
Friday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Friday Night Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Saturday Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Saturday Freezing Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 11, 2018

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