Issued: 3:25 PM PST Monday, December 10, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Friday

A deep trough in the NE Pacific and a strong westerly jet will send a significant storm through our region on Tuesday. Warm frontal moisture will move into the region late Monday night and continue through Tuesday creating stormy conditions for nearly all areas. Cool easterly flow will initially insulate the Cascade Passes from the warming trend, but mixed precipitation and a switch to rain is expected for all Passes in the latter half of the day.  

The associated cold front will sweep through the Cascades Tuesday evening and snow levels will quickly lower Tuesday night. Post-frontal showers should lead to decent snowfall accumulations along the West Slopes of the Cascades and the Mt. Hood area Tuesday night. 

There won't be much off a break in the weather on Wednesday.  As showers diminish, warm frontal moisture along a quasi-stationary boundary will impact the Olympics, the north Cascades and southern B.C by Wednesday afternoon. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Monday Night Light to moderate rain and snow developing overnight. Warming trend.
Mt. Baker
Monday Night Light to moderate rain and snow developing overnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Monday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Monday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight. Light east wind in the Passes becoming moderate overnight.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Monday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight.
Mt. Hood
Monday Night Light rain and snow developing late overnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Monday Evening Snow Level 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level * 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level * 5000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 3000' 3000' 4000' 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level 6500' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 5500' 5500' 7000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 6000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 1.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 1.00 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 0.25
LT 0.10 1.50 2.00 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50
Friday 1.50 - 2.00
Friday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 1.00
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.50 - 2.00
Friday Night 1.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 1.00
Friday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.50 - 2.00
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 1.50
Friday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 2.00
Friday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Evening S 5 - 15 S 10 - 20 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10
Monday Night S 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20 SE 10 - 20 S 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30 SSE 25 - 40 S 20 - 30 SSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night S 15 - 25
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening S 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Morning SSE 25 - 40
Tuesday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Morning S 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night S 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening SW 0 - 10
Monday Night SW 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night S 15 - 25
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Evening S 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Morning SSE 25 - 40
Tuesday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Tuesday Morning S 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Evening S 5 - 15
Monday Night S 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW 0 - 10
Monday Night SW 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Evening SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 W 40 - 50
Tuesday Morning SW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 50 SW 50 - 60 SW 45 - 55 WSW 45 - 55
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 25 - 35
Tuesday Morning SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Morning SW 40 - 50
Tuesday Afternoon SW 45 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW 20 - 30
Monday Night SW 40 - 50
Tuesday Morning SW 50 - 60
Tuesday Afternoon SW 55 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW 15 - 25
Monday Night SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Morning SW 45 - 55
Tuesday Afternoon SW 60 - 70
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night W 40 - 50
Tuesday Morning WSW 45 - 55
Tuesday Afternoon SW 60 - 70

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

A low pressure system is expected to develop along the quasi-stationary frontal boundary hung up over the northern half of our forecast area and southern B.C. Wednesday night and Thursday, with lesser amounts forecast further south.  A slight warming trend should peak Thursday afternoon and night. The frontal boundary should become north-south oriented and pass through Friday, weakening and splitting in the process. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Wednesday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500' *
Thursday Night Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6000' 6000' - 7000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Thursday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Thursday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 7, 2018

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