Issued: 3:35 PM PST Friday, December 7, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Thursday

The Pacific Northwest is transitioning into an active December weather pattern with a series of storm systems slated to arrive every few days for the foreseeable future.

The first system consists of a weakening frontal boundary and associated short-wave trough lifting across the forecast area late Friday night through Saturday. This will bring a round of light rain and snow to the region. A deep pool of cold air and light to moderate easterly flow will generally keep precipitation frozen east of the Cascade Crest and through the passes, while areas further west will experience elevated snow levels.

Saturday afternoon will see a drying trend from south to north as a shortwave ridge works into the region.

A second, stronger frontal system arrives from the west on Sunday night and will bring warm air, increasing southerly winds and precipitation into the Olympic Peninsula by morning. The front will slowly move across the region on Sunday into Sunday evening, bringing moderate to occasionally strong crest-level winds. Warm air and rain will impact mid-elevation locations west of the Cascade Crest and Mt. Hood, while the cold air pool will maintain snow east of the Cascade crest with mixed precipitation possible for Snoqualmie Pass. Precipitation amounts will be light to moderate for most locations, but Mt. Baker (favored by the S-SW flow) could see 1.5" of precipitable water.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Increasing high clouds lowering and thickening. A chance of very light rain arriving by morning. Light to moderate winds becoming moderate.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Increasing high clouds lowering and thickening. Rising freezing levels. Light winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night High clouds lowering and thickening. Moderate easterly winds. Light to moderate crest-level winds.
Mt. Rainier and Crystal
Friday Night High clouds increasing and lowering. Light to moderate rain and snow.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night High clouds lowering and thickening. Light to moderate S-SE winds.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night High clouds lowering and thickening. Light winds becoming moderate. Light rain and snow arriving after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Freezing Level * 5000' 4000' 2500' 500' 1500' 2500' 3500' 5500'
Friday Night Snow Level * 6000' 4000' 2500' 1000' 2000' 3000' 3500' 5500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level * 4500' 3500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level * 5000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3500' 4500' 5500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level * 7000' 5000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 5000' 7000'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 6500' 3500' 1000' 500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 6000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level * 6500' 5500' 2500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 5000' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 1.00
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 1.00
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Leavenworth 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0.25
0.50 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SSE 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20 SSE 5 - 15 SSE 10 - 20 S 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 20 - 30 SSE 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20 SSE 15 - 25 SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20 SSE 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Friday Night SSE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening SSE 5 - 15
Friday Night SE 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening SSE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening S 10 - 20
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Friday Night SSE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSE 5 - 15
Friday Night SE 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 10 - 20
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning SSW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Modest cooling will occur Sunday night as a shortwave trough settles over the region and will linger through the day Monday, bringing cooler and unstable showery conditions.

Monday night, showers will be cut off as warm air begins to arrive aloft ahead of a potent frontal system. The system will arrive from the W-NW on Tuesday, bringing moderate to heavy rain and snow at initially elevated and then rapidly lowering snow levels. The system is expected to bring moderate W-SW winds shifting to W-NW and significant snow totals at mid and upper elevations, particularly for the west slopes of the Cascades.

Mountain snow showers will continue Tuesday night with a shortwave trough will be over the region and Wednesday with a weak ridge offshore bringing NW flow aloft.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3500' - 4500' *
Monday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Tuesday Snow Level
2500' - 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Tuesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 6, 2018

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.