Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather
Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Friday
On Wednesday, the Pacific Northwest continues to sit between a robust and relatively stationary high pressure off the northern coast of California and a deep low over Hudson's Bay. The jetstream lies to our north, taking today's storm track and precipitation on a higher-latitude trajectory than previously expected. The resulting weather has been warmer than anticipated for Wednesday, with relatively drier weather. Winds have been and will continue to be moderate to strong on the east slopes of the Cascades at higher elevation and downslope winds to the east of the Cascades have scoured out the cold pool that normally resides there. Mazama saw an 18F jump in temperature in just one hour this morning due to a wind shift from E to W and temperatures are now in the mid-50's. Winds below crest-level have been light to moderate.
To the west of the Cascade crest the atmosphere has been very stable on Wednesday morning, meaning that the temperature doesn't decrease significantly with height as you normally expect. Temperatures are in the low-to-mid 30's at most NWAC stations, including Camp Muir!
Light precipitation is beginning to re-develop in the Northwest Cascades this afternoon with light amounts expected. Some locations in the central and north Cascades (west slopes) have also experienced freezing rain above 5000 feet or drizzle.
As a system approaches from the W-NW tonight, W-SW winds will increase to the moderate-to-strong range by morning at crest level and snow levels will begin lowing slightly as the jetstream drops southward, pushing the ridge back south. In some cases east of the Cascade crest, winds will be very strong tonight.
On Thurday, the reasonably strong, but relatively moisture-starved surface cold front associated with a short-wave trough will cross the Pacific Northwest, arriving in the Olympics in the early morning, then the NW Cascades around 10 AM and reaching Mt. Hood during the evening hours.
Snow levels will drop significantly behind the front with rain changing back to snow at many mid-elevation locations between 1-4PM at the Mt. Baker base and between 4 and 7 PM for Stevens Pass and Crystal Base, with a changeover at Snoqualmie pass level likely after 7 PM. Most precipitation will be with moderate post-frontal showers behind the cold front and a potentially strong convergence zone that is likely to set up in the Stevens Pass vicinity during the afternoon and early evening hours.
Some lighter convergence will focus lingering snowfall in the Snoqualmie Pass vicinity on Thursday night.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
Wednesday | Partly cloudy with filtered sunlight. Moderate ridgetop westerly winds. |
Wednesday Night | Fair with partly cloudy skies. Moderate ridgetop W-SW winds increasing to strong at times. |
Thursday | Mostly cloudy, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Strong ridgetop W-SW winds. |
Thursday Night | Becoming mostly clear. Moderate ridgetop westerly winds. |
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Wednesday | Cloudy central to north Cascades with some light rain or drizzle. Sunny south Cascades. Moderate crest-level westerly winds. |
Wednesday Night | Mostly high clouds. Crest-level winds becoming moderate to strong. |
Thursday | Mostly cloudy in the morning from Snoqualmie Pass northward, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Expect filtered sunlight further south in the morning with low clouds moving in during the afternoon. Moderate to strong W-SW crest-level winds. |
Thursday Night | Mostly cloudy with westerly winds decreasing. |
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday | Cloudy central to north Cascades near the crest with some light rain or drizzle possible. Sunny south Cascades and east of the crest with warm temperatures replacing the typical mid-winter cold pool. Moderate crest-level westerly winds. Moderate to strong crest-level westerly winds. |
Wednesday Night | Mostly high clouds. Crest-level winds becoming moderate to strong. |
Thursday | Mostly cloudy in the morning from Snoqualmie Pass northward, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Expect filtered sunlight further south. Moderate to strong W-SW crest-level winds. |
Thursday Night | Becoming partly to mostly clear with westerly winds decreasing. |
Mt. Hood
Wednesday | Low clouds dissipating early, then increasing high clouds. |
Wednesday Night | High clouds. |
Thursday | Increasing clouds in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night | Mostly cloudy. |
Issued: 3:00 PM PST Wednesday, February 7, 2018
Snow/Freezing Level (ft)
Hurricane Ridge | Mt. Baker | Washington Pass | Leavenworth | Stevens Pass | Snoqualmie Pass | Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass | Mt. Hood | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | Snow Level | 8000' | 6500' | 6500' | ' | ' | 7500' | ' | 9500' |
Wednesday Night | Snow Level | 6500' | 5000' | 5500' | ' | ' | 6500' | ' | 9000' |
Thursday Morning | Snow Level | 5000' | 4000' | 4000' | ' | ' | 4500' | ' | 8500' |
Thursday Afternoon | Snow Level | 3500' | 4000' | 4500' | ' | ' | 4000' | ' | 8500' |
Thursday Night | Snow Level | 2500' | 2500' | 2500' | ' | ' | 2500' | ' | 4500' |
Hurricane Ridge | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level 8000' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level 6500' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level 5000' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level 3500' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level 2500' |
Mt. Baker | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level 6500' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level 5000' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level 4000' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level 4000' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level 2500' |
Washington Pass | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level 6500' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level 5500' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level 4000' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level 4500' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level 2500' |
Leavenworth | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Stevens Pass | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Snoqualmie Pass | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level 7500' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level 6500' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level 4500' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level 4000' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level 2500' |
Mt. Rainier & Crystal | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level ' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level ' |
Mt. Hood | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon |
Snow Level 9500' |
Wednesday Night |
Snow Level 9000' |
Thursday Morning |
Snow Level 8500' |
Thursday Afternoon |
Snow Level 8500' |
Thursday Night |
Snow Level 4500' |
* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.
Precipitation Forecast
Friday | Friday | |
---|---|---|
Hurricane Ridge | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
Mt Baker Ski Area | 0.25 - 0.50 | 0.25 - 0.50 |
Washington Pass | LT 0.10 | 0.25 - 0.50 |
Stevens Pass | LT 0.10 | 0.75 - 1.00 |
Snoqualmie Pass | LT 0.10 | 0.25 - 0.50 |
Mission Ridge | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
Crystal Mt | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
Paradise | LT 0.25 | LT 0.10 |
White Pass | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
Mt Hood Meadows | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
Timberline | LT 0.10 | LT 0.10 |
LT = less than; WE or Water equivalent is the liquid water equivalent of melted snow in hundredths of inches. As a rough approximation 1 inch of snow = about .10 inches WE, or 10 inches of snow = about 1 inch WE.
Issued: 3:00 PM PST Wednesday, February 7, 2018
Free Winds at 5000' (mph)
Hurricane Ridge | Mt. Baker | Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass | Mt. Rainier | Mt. Hood | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 20 - 30 | W 15 - 25 | W 10 - 20 | --- - | W 10 - 20 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 25 - 40 | WSW 20 - 35 | WSW 30 - 40 | --- - | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 25 - 35 | WSW 20 - 30 | WSW 30 - 40 | --- - | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 20 - 30 | WSW 10 - 20 | WSW 25 - 35 | --- - | W 30 - 40 |
Thursday Night | WSW 5 - 15 | SW 5 - 15 | W 5 - 15 | --- - | W 20 - 35 |
Hurricane Ridge | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 20 - 30 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 25 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 25 - 35 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 20 - 30 |
Thursday Night | WSW 5 - 15 |
Mt. Baker | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 15 - 25 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 20 - 35 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 20 - 30 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 10 - 20 |
Thursday Night | SW 5 - 15 |
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 10 - 20 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 25 - 35 |
Thursday Night | W 5 - 15 |
Mt. Rainier | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | --- - |
Wednesday Night | --- - |
Thursday Morning | --- - |
Thursday Afternoon | --- - |
Thursday Night | --- - |
Mt. Hood | Elevation |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 10 - 20 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 30 - 40 |
Thursday Night | W 20 - 35 |
Hurricane Ridge | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 20 - 30 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 25 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 25 - 35 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 20 - 30 |
Thursday Night | WSW 5 - 15 |
Mt. Baker | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 15 - 25 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 20 - 35 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 20 - 30 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 10 - 20 |
Thursday Night | SW 5 - 15 |
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 10 - 20 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 25 - 35 |
Thursday Night | W 5 - 15 |
Mt. Rainier | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | --- - |
Wednesday Night | --- - |
Thursday Morning | --- - |
Thursday Afternoon | --- - |
Thursday Night | --- - |
Mt. Hood | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 10 - 20 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 30 - 40 |
Thursday Night | W 20 - 35 |
Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.
Free Winds at 9000' (mph)
Mt. Baker | Washington Pass | Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass | Mt. Rainier | Mt. Hood | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 45 - 65 | W 50 - 70 | W 50 - 70 | --- - | WNW 25 - 35 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 50 - 70 | WSW 60 - 80 | WSW 60 - 80 | --- - | W 50 - 70 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 35 - 45 | WSW 50 - 70 | W 40 - 60 | --- - | W 60 - 80 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 25 - 35 | WSW 30 - 40 | W 40 - 60 | --- - | W 55 - 75 |
Thursday Night | W 10 - 20 | W 15 - 25 | WNW 35 - 55 | --- - | NW 45 - 65 |
Mt. Baker | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 45 - 65 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 50 - 70 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 35 - 45 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 25 - 35 |
Thursday Night | W 10 - 20 |
Washington Pass | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 50 - 70 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 60 - 80 |
Thursday Morning | WSW 50 - 70 |
Thursday Afternoon | WSW 30 - 40 |
Thursday Night | W 15 - 25 |
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | W 50 - 70 |
Wednesday Night | WSW 60 - 80 |
Thursday Morning | W 40 - 60 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 40 - 60 |
Thursday Night | WNW 35 - 55 |
Mt. Rainier | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | --- - |
Wednesday Night | --- - |
Thursday Morning | --- - |
Thursday Afternoon | --- - |
Thursday Night | --- - |
Mt. Hood | Direction - Speed |
---|---|
Wednesday Afternoon | WNW 25 - 35 |
Wednesday Night | W 50 - 70 |
Thursday Morning | W 60 - 80 |
Thursday Afternoon | W 55 - 75 |
Thursday Night | NW 45 - 65 |
Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.
Issued: 3:00 PM PST Wednesday, February 7, 2018
Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday
A moderate jet will remain over the area on Friday, with some light snow showers on a light W-NW flow along the west slopes of the Cascades.
Late Friday into Friday night, an upper trough to the NE will retrograde to the west, spawning a back-door coldfront that pushes south and may bring a few snow showers to the Mt. Hood area on Friday night. Over Washington, expect clearing skies and light winds with low freezing levels.
Saturday, should feature a brief period of relatively cool high pressure with clear skies, rebounding freezing levels, and light winds as a northward tongue of our trusty offshore high pressure slides east to replace the southward-moving shortwave trough.
The high pressure should hold through Saturday night with clear skies and low freezing levels.
Models agree that a storm will impact the northwest at some point on Saturday on a NW flow coming down the back-side of the high pressure ridge, but the models disagree regarding the track. Some models take the storm offshore into central Oregon, cutting off the potential for much moisture getting into our mountains. Other tracks take it directly into Washington during the daylight hours on Sunday. At this time, the upper and surface low look to bring another round of colder air and the potential for snow to lower elevations.
Extended Weather
Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Extended Snow/Freezing Levels
Mt. Baker | Snoqualmie Pass | Mt. Hood | Easterly Flow * | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Friday | Snow Level | ' - ' | ' - ' | ' - ' | |
Friday Night | Snow Level | ' - ' | ' - ' | ' - ' | |
Saturday | Snow Level | ' - ' | ' - ' | ' - ' | |
Saturday Night | Snow Level | ' - ' | ' - ' | ' - ' | |
Sunday | Snow Level | ' - ' | ' - ' | ' - ' |
Mt. Baker | Elevation |
---|---|
Friday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Friday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Sunday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Snoqualmie Pass | Elevation |
---|---|
Friday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Friday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Sunday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Mt. Hood | Elevation |
---|---|
Friday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Friday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Saturday Night |
Snow Level ' - ' |
Sunday |
Snow Level ' - ' |
* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.
Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather
Previous forecast from Feb 7, 2018
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.