Issued: 2:26 PM PST Tuesday, February 21, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday & Thursday

A weak low pressure system traversed across northern Oregon and into southeast Washington earlier today. This track was similar to Monday's low pressure system, but with the precipitation shield a bit further south. Light precipitation mainly affected the Mt. Hood region through mid-day with periods of light snow reaching northward into the central Washington Cascades. As the low passed east of the Cascades, an upper level trough is beginning to move over the Pacific Northwest with a cooling trend taking place in the afternoon. Lower stations have bumped up in response to daytime heating, but upper stations have begun to cool as of 1 PM. Sunbreaks are popping out especially in the northwest Cascades and Olympics. 

Afternoon shower activity should be fairly light but a possible convergence zone initially focused near Snoqualmie should rotate toward Stevens Pass and may produce bands of moderate showers through the evening. Showers should taper down overnight.

A weak upper level low coming down in the northerly branch of the jet stream will help dig a cold upper level trough over the area on Wednesday. The air mass will be slightly unstable with a chance for a few heavier showers potentially containing graupel in the afternoon. It looks fairly cloudy for the Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades on Wednesday, but the east slopes of the Cascades may enjoy more sunbreaks before the convective clouds begin to fill in during the afternoon hours. Showers should again taper down overnight. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Tuesday - Tuesday Evening

Partly to mostly cloudy with light scattered rain and snow showers. Slight cooling trend. 

Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning

Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers. Colder. 

Wednesday Afternoon

Cloudy with scattered light to moderate snow showers. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Tuesday Afternoon - Tuesday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light scattered rain and snow showers, occasionally moderate near a potential convergence zone between Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes. A few afternoon sunbreaks, especially north Cascades. Slight cooling trend. 

Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning

Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers. Colder. 

Wednesday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Tuesday Afternoon - Tuesday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light scattered rain and snow showers. A few afternoon sunbreaks. 

Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning

Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers. Turning colder.  

Wednesday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Afternoon sunbreaks.

Mt. Hood Area
Tuesday Mid-day

Light rain and snow. 

Tuesday Afternoon - Tuesday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light scattered rain and snow showers. A few afternoon sunbreaks. Slight cooling trend. 

Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning

Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers. Colder. 

Wednesday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level 3000' 3500' 3000' ' ' 3000' ' 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 2000' 3500' ' ' 2000' ' 2500'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level 1000' 1000' 500' ' ' 1000' ' 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 1500' 1500' 1500' ' ' 1500' ' 1500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Mid-day Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20 SW 0 - 10 WNW 10 - 20 --- - WNW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20 SW 5 - 15 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 15 - 25
Wednesday W 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 WSW 5 - 15 --- - W 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Tuesday Night SW 5 - 15
Wednesday SW 0 - 10
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Tuesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Wednesday --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night W 15 - 25
Wednesday W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Tuesday Night SW 5 - 15
Wednesday SW 0 - 10
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Tuesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Wednesday --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night W 15 - 25
Wednesday W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 W 20 - 30 --- - WNW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25 W 20 - 35 W 20 - 35 --- - WNW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 WNW 10 - 20 --- - WNW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night NW 5 - 15
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 20 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night NW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 20 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night NW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning WNW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night NW 10 - 20

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

A repetitive pattern of an upper level low coming down in northerly flow and digging off the Washington Coast over the next few days will keep the Pacific Northwest under the influence of a seasonally cool air mass with low snow levels and predominately afternoon mountain showers. The Olympics may be slightly cloudier due to their proximity to the upper low(s), but in general expect convective clouds to increase each afternoon with scattered mountain showers developing. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Thursday - Saturday

Partly cloudy in the overnight and morning hours becoming mostly cloudy with scattered mountain showers in the afternoon and early evening hours. More afternoon sunbreaks along the east slopes of the Cascades away from the crest. Cool.  

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Morning Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 0' - 0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 1000' - 1500' 1000' - 1500' 1000' - 1500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 0' - 0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 1000' - 1500' 1000' - 1500' 1000' - 1500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 0' - 0'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 1500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
0' - 0'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 21, 2017

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