Issued: 1:20 PM PST Wednesday, February 8, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Friday

A big weather change is coming to the Olympics and Cascades Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Increasing strong southwest flow aloft will be seen over the Northwest on Wednesday and Wednesday night. A strong, wet warm front will lift north over the area. Snow levels and precipitation amounts will be moving targets but plan on rapid warming and heavy precipitation Wednesday afternoon to Thursday morning. It should also be a good set up for freezing rain at Stevens and Snoqualmie especially as usual Snoqualmie Wednesday night to Thursday morning.

It looks like the cold front should cross the Cascades Thursday late morning. This should cause a change to showers and lowering snow levels Thursday afternoon and night. A weakening upper and surface trough should move to the Northwest coast on Thursday night. The trusty US GFS model maintains pretty strong flow aloft over the Northwest through Thursday night. So alpine winds should be pretty strong in the Olympics and Cascades through Thursday night. Models indicate less precipitation on Thursday at Mt Hood.

 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing alpine winds. Strong warming trend.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Periods of heavy rain or snow and strong alpine winds. Strong warming trend.

Thursday Afternoon

Decreasing light to moderate showers. Possible continued strong alpine winds.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light snow north and increasing moderate to heavy snow central to south. Increasing alpine winds. Strong warming trend.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Periods of heavy rain or snow and strong alpine winds. Freezing rain Stevens and Snoqualmie especially Snoqualmie. Strong warming trend.

Thursday Afternoon

Decreasing light to moderate showers. Possible continued strong alpine winds. Cooling trend.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing light snow north and increasing moderate snow central to south. Increasing alpine winds. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Periods of moderate heavy rain or snow and strong alpine winds. Local freezing rain lower elevations. Strong warming trend.

Thursday Afternoon

Decreasing light showers. Possible continued strong alpine winds. Cooling trend.

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday Afternoon

Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing alpine winds.  Strong warming trend.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Periods of light to moderate rain or snow and strong alpine winds. Strong warming trend.

Thursday Afternoon

Decreasing light showers. Possible continued strong alpine winds. Cooling trend.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 4000' 2000' 0' ' ' 2000' ' 6000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 7000' 5000' 1000' ' ' 6000' ' 8000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 6000' 5000' 3000' ' ' 6000' ' 7000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 5000' 5000' 5000' ' ' 5000' ' 6000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 - 1.00 0.75 - 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 1.50 2.00 - 3.00
Washington Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 1.00
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0 - 1.50
Mission Ridge 0 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 1.50 - 2.00 0 - 1.50
Paradise 2.00 - 3.00 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 1.50 0 - 0.75
1.50 - 2.00 0.75 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25 SSE 15 - 25 SSE 15 - 25 --- - SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45 SSE 25 - 35 SSE 30 - 45 --- - SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 45 --- - SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60 SW 30 - 45 SW 40 - 60 --- - SW 40 - 60
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SW 30 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSE 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SW 30 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSE 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 60
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 40 - 60

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45 SW 25 - 35 SW 50 - 70 --- - SW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 SW 70 - 90 --- - SW 60 - 80
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 SW 60 - 80 --- - SW 65 - 85
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65 SW 50 - 70 SW 55 - 75 --- - SW 60 - 80
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Thursday Night SW 50 - 70
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 70
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Thursday Night SW 55 - 75
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SW 70 - 90
Thursday Morning SW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon SW 55 - 75
Thursday Night SW 50 - 70
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SW 60 - 80
Thursday Morning SW 65 - 85
Thursday Afternoon SW 60 - 80
Thursday Night SW 60 - 80

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

Good west flow over the Northwest should continue Friday with a second upper trough moving across the Northwest.

An upper ridge should build over the US coastal waters on Saturday and shift to over the west US on Sunday.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Friday

Moderate showers heaviest along the Cascade west slopes Friday. Light showers heaviest along the Cascade west slopes Friday night.

Saturday

Light showers heaviest along the Cascade west slopes ending.

Sunday

Partly cloudy.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 1500' - 3000' 2000' - 3000' 2000' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level 1000' - 2000' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 3000'
Sunday Freezing Level 1000' - 3000' 1000' - 3000' 3000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
1500' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Freezing Level
1000' - 3000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Freezing Level
1000' - 3000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
3000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 3000'
Sunday Freezing Level
3000' - 5000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
7000' - 9000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 8, 2017

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