Issued: 1:41 PM PST Thursday, January 19, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Friday

An atmospheric river faded over the Northwest on Wednesday. Water equivalents for the 72 hours ending Thursday morning were the most at Baker and Crystal with about 7.6 inches and about 5 inches respectively. There was probably a lot at Paradise as well but the precipitation gage is out there. We hope to have that fixed soon. Water equivalents for other sites were mostly in the 1-2 inch range.

A weak upper trough that stretches from the Northwest to California will move into the west US on Thursday. This will cause snow showers mainly over the Cascade west slopes with snow levels lower than they have been the past couple days.

A relative break between weak systems is indicated Thursday night.

A  large weak upper and surface low pressure system will begin to linger a few hundred miles off the Northwest coast on Friday. Very weak shortwaves and minor moisture will begin to rotate out of and around the low and across the Northwest on Friday and Friday night.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Afternoon

Light to moderate snow showers.

Thursday Night

Light snow showers ending.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday Afternoon

Moderate snow showers on the volcanoes and mostly light snow showers in the Cascade Passes.

Thursday Night

Light snow showers ending.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Afternoon

Mostly light snow showers heaviest higher elevations.

Thursday Night

Light snow showers ending.

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday Afternoon

Mostly light snow showers.

Thursday Night

Light snow showers ending.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Snow Level 3500' 3000' 2000' ' ' 3000' ' 3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level * 3000' 2500' 1500' ' ' 2500' ' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 - 0.75 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
LT 0.25 0 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 20 - 30 --- - SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25 SSE 5 - 15 SSE 10 - 20 --- - SSE 10 - 20
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30 SE 15 - 25 SE 20 - 30 --- - SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20 SE 10 - 20 --- - SE 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Friday Night SE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 5 - 15
Friday Morning SE 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Friday Night SE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 5 - 15
Friday Morning SE 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Friday Morning SE 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Friday Night SE 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 45 --- - SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SSE 20 - 30 SSE 20 - 30 SSE 25 - 35 --- - SSE 30 - 45
Friday Morning SSE 25 - 35 SSE 25 - 35 SSE 40 - 60 --- - SSW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30 SSE 20 - 30 SSE 15 - 25 --- - SSE 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SSE 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SSE 25 - 35
Friday Morning SSE 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Friday Night SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SSE 30 - 45
Friday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

The large weak upper and surface low pressure system will continue to linger a few hundred miles off the Northwest coast on Saturday and Sunday. It looks like weak shortwaves and more mostly minor moisture should rotate out of the the low and across the Northwest on Saturday and Sunday.

The low should sink southeast to California on Monday.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Saturday

Mostly light snow showers spreading south to north heaviest south Cascades.

Sunday

Light occasional moderate snow showers spreading south to north heaviest south Cascades.

Monday

Light snow showers mainly south Cascades ending in the morning. Decreasing clouds in the afternoon and night.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2000' - 3000' 2000' - 3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 19, 2017

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.