Issued: 1:11 PM PST Wednesday, January 18, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Saturday

Out with the Arctic and in with the Tropics! The replacement of the Arctic air mass that was over the area will continue one more day on Wednesday in the Cascades.

The heaviest precipitation the 24 hours ending Wednesday morning has been at Mt Baker with over 4 inches. Crystal also had over 3 inches. A mix of heavy sleet and freezing rain has been seen at Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes.

The atmospheric river and stormy weather that moved to the Northwest on Tuesday will gradually fade over the Northwest on Wednesday. The last weak wave on the front should move south to north over the area Wednesday late afternoon and evening.

Rain or snow will probably be heaviest the volcanoes on Wednesday. More rain, snow, sleet or freezing rain should be seen at Stevens and Snoqualmie and east of the crest as the surface Arctic air mass continues to erode to the east.

A shift to very weak west winds in the Cascade passes should be seen Wednesday evening which should cause a bump in the snow levels there.

The action will be over by Thursday with a weak upper trough and cooler air mass moving into the Northwest, with the main flow in the south part of the trough moving to south California. There should just be some mostly some light snow showers in the Olympics and Cascades on Thursday with lower snow levels.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday

Stormy with moderate to heavy rain or snow.

Wednesday Night

Rain or snow decreasing and changing to light showers. Cooler.

Thursday

Light showers. Cooler.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday

Stormy with moderate to heavy rain or snow heaviest on the volcanoes, light to moderate sleet or freezing rain at Stevens and Snoqualmie, moderate rain at White Pass.

Wednesday Night

Rain or snow decreasing and changing to light showers. Cooler.

Thursday

Light showers except light to moderate showers at Mt Baker. Cooler.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday

Stormy with light to moderate rain or snow. Light to moderate sleet or freezing rain possible at lower elevations.

Wednesday Night

Rain or snow decreasing and changing to light showers heaviest at higher elevations. Cooler.

Thursday

Light showers heaviest at higher elevations. Cooler.

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday

Light to moderate rain or snow.

Wednesday Night

Rain or snow decreasing and changing to light showers. Cooler.

Thursday

Light showers. Cooler.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level * 5000' 4500' 1000' ' ' 5500' ' 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 4500' 4000' 2000' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3000' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Saturday
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.00 - 3.00 0 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 - 2.00 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 - 2.00 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
0 - 0.75 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 25 - 35 --- - SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 40 - 60 SW 30 - 45 SW 40 - 60 --- - SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SSE 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

An upper and surface low pressure system will linger about 500 miles off the Northwest coast during the Friday to Sunday period. Weak systems will rotate around the low and affect the Northwest. Weak offshore surface flow should also be seen during that period. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Friday - Sunday

Periods of mostly light rain or snow heaviest on the volcanoes of the south Cascades with snow levels generally below Cascade pass levels.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 18, 2017

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.