Issued: 2:43 PM PST Wednesday, January 9, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Thursday

A rainband associated with a low tracking northward offshore will bring rain at generally elevated snow levels west of the Cascade Crest. Cold air east of the Cascade Crest will gradually erode from south to north, but may still provide a messy mix of rain, sleet and snow east from the lower Cascade passes eastward in the evening and overnight hours. Mt. Baker continues to be favored by the southerly flow pattern (2" of water overnight), but other areas will start receiving moderate precipitation overnight.

The passage of the rainband is likely to decrease easterly flow enough to change both Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes to rain by Thursday early morning and scour out the and scour out the cold air pool east of the Cascade Crest as the rainband doesn't provide much cooling aloft. Precipitation type has been very difficult to forecast during this event.

A weak warm front will brush the region on Thursday, bringing generally light rain and snow on a southerly flow. 

Thursday night and Friday should see some clearing as most of the weather action stays just offshore to our west with a ridge building over eastern Washington, keeping us dry.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Decreasing light rain and snow, becoming showery. Moderate winds, strong gusts. Slight cooling.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Heavy rain and snow. Increasing moderate winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Light to moderate snow becoming light rain and snow after midnight. Moderate winds peaking in the evening with strong gusts at crest-level.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Moderate precipitation: a mix of rain, sleet, and snow with temperatures near the freezing mark at Snoqualmie Pass. Light to moderate east flow. Moderate crest-level winds with strong gusts in the evening.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow at Paradise with moderate rain and snow for Crystal and White Pass. Moderate winds with strong gusts peaking in the evening hours.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Increasing moderate rain and snow. Moderate winds with occasional strong gusts.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 5500' 4500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 5000' 4500' 3000' 4000' 3500' 4500' 5000' 5000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 4500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 5000' 4000' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 5000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000' 6000'
Thursday Night Freezing Level * 6500' 5000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 5500' 7500'
Friday Morning Freezing Level * 7000' 5500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 6000' 6000' 7500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Leavenworth 0.25 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise 1.00 LT 0.25 0 0
White Pass 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0
0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 2.00
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SSW 30 - 45 SSE 15 - 25 SSE 25 - 35 SSE 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35 S 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 15 - 25 SSE 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 S 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SSW 35 - 50 SSW 30 - 45 SSW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35 SW 35 - 50 SW 35 - 50 SW 35 - 50 WSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 40 - 60
Wednesday Night WSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

The ridge continues to build across the western US Friday night and becomes a blocking high on Saturday over Idaho. This pattern forces storms to split south to California or north to SE Alaska, leaving the Pacific Northwest with mild, mostly sunny weather through Monday and moderate offshore gradients keeping the passes slightly cooler with E flow. This pattern is currently forecast to break down during the middle of next week.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Freezing Level 6500' - 7500' 7000' - 8000' 6000' - 8000' *
Saturday Freezing Level 6000' - 8000' 5500' - 7500' 5500' - 7500' *
Saturday Night Freezing Level 5500' - 7500' 4500' - 6500' 6500' - 7500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
6500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
6000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Freezing Level
5500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
5000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
7000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
5500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Freezing Level
4500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
5000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
6000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
5500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Freezing Level
6500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
5500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 9, 2019

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