Issued: 2:32 PM PST Sunday, January 15, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday & Monday

Big changes with afternoon update for Day 2 Precipitation amounts as forecast models have really backed off with the southward progression of heavy precipitation Monday night.

We have one more day of mostly sunny skies, generally light winds and with temperatures continuing to moderate. Temperature inversions will continue in the Passes and protected valleys and low clouds will persist along the east slopes of the Cascades today.

An incoming frontal system, part of an atmospheric river that will impact the area through midweek, will reach the area beginning Monday afternoon with precipitation rapidly increasing Monday night for the Olympics and north Cascades. Precipitation amounts look lighter for the central and south Washington Cascades and very little precipitation expected for Mt. Hood as the baroclinic zone initially hangs up over southern B.C. through late Monday night. 

A strong warming trend will take place Monday night and continue into Tuesday. During the transition from snow to rain, a period of light freezing rain is possible in the Passes Monday night, but more likely east of the crest Tuesday morning as warm air overrides much colder air at the surface. Mt. Baker is forecast to see the heaviest precipitation through early Tuesday morning, and may see a decent shot of heavy snow before transition to rain early Tuesday morning. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Sunday

Mostly sunny with high clouds increasing in the afternoon. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Mostly cloudy. 

Monday Afternoon

Light rain and snow developing. Winds quickly increasing in the afternoon. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Sunday

Mostly sunny. Milder except colder with temperature inversions sheltered valleys and near Cascade Passes. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Partly cloudy. 

Monday Afternoon

Light rain and snow developing north Cascades. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy central and south Washington Cascades. Alpine winds increasing in the afternoon. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Sunday

Mostly sunny, except cloudy lower slopes further east of the Cascade crest. Milder except colder with temperature inversions lower slopes and valleys.  

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Mostly clear, except cloudy lower slopes further east of the Cascade crest.

Monday Afternoon

Becoming cloudy northeast Cascades Monday afternoon. Becoming partly cloudy central and southeast Washington Cascades. Alpine winds increasing in the afternoon. 

Mt. Hood Area
Sunday

Mostly sunny and milder. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Mostly clear.

Monday Afternoon

Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Freezing Level * 6500' 5500' 4500' ' ' 6000' ' 8000'
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level * 7500' 5500' 3000' ' ' 6000' ' 8000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level * 7500' 4000' 2500' ' ' 4000' ' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 - 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 2.00 - 2.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 --- - W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 --- - SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 --- - SW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Night SW 25 - 40
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Monday Night SW 15 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Monday Night SW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Night SW 25 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Monday Night SW 15 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday - Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday - Sunday Night W 0 - 10
Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Monday Night SW 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday NW 20 - 30 NW 15 - 25 NW 15 - 25 --- - NNW 10 - 20
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 20 - 30 W 10 - 20 NW 20 - 30 --- - NW 15 - 30
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 --- - WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday NW 20 - 30
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Monday Night SW 40 - 50
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday NW 15 - 25
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Monday Night SW 45 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday NW 15 - 25
Sunday Night - Monday Morning NW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Monday Night SW 50 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday --- -
Sunday Night - Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday NNW 10 - 20
Sunday Night - Monday Morning NW 15 - 30
Monday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Monday Night SW 35 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

The wet and mild ride will continue with several waves of warm frontal moisture impacting the Pacific Northwest through Wednesday. Mixed precipitation should linger the longest along the east slopes of the Cascades through Tuesday morning or mid-day before lower elevations see a switch to rain. Snow levels in the Washington Pass area may not peak until Wednesday afternoon with a slow warming trend up to that point. 

An incoming longwave upper trough should turn the flow aloft more southerly on Wednesday, favoring the volcanoes and south slopes of the Olympics for the heaviest precipitation amounts. The upper trough should pass through the West Coast Wednesday night and begin to usher in a cooler and more showery air mass. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Tuesday - Wednesday

Stormy with moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow along the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics. Light to moderate rain and snow along the east slopes of the Cascades. Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow Mt. Hood. Windy in the alpine. Mild. 

Wednesday Night

Moderate rain and snow changing to showers with a cooling trend. 

Thursday

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday - Tuesday Night Snow Level 5500' - 6500' 6000' - 7500' 7500' - 8500' *
Wednesday Snow Level 5500' - 6500' 5500' - 6500' 6000' - 7000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday - Tuesday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday - Tuesday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday - Tuesday Night Snow Level
7500' - 8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 15, 2017

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